Original research · 2026-07 edition

AI SEO Statistics: Paving Company (2026-07 edition)

15 questions · 45/45 expected AI responses · 3 models · measured 2026-07-04

The question bank

The questions we tested — a frozen buyer-intent benchmark for paving company.

The question set was curated from a predefined buyer-intent taxonomy and held constant for this edition. Each model received the same wording. These are the prompts behind every percentage on this page.

My driveway has several long cracks and some crumbling at the edges, do I need a full repave or just a sealcoating?
What is the average cost per square foot for a new asphalt driveway including the base layer in 2024?
Is it possible to lay new asphalt directly over my old, cracked concrete driveway or is that a bad idea?
I have a steep driveway that gets icy in winter, which paving material offers the best traction?
How long do I actually have to wait before driving my SUV on a newly paved asphalt surface?
What are the specific red flags I should look for when getting quotes from local paving contractors?
Can I DIY a gravel driveway extension or is it better to hire a pro to ensure proper drainage?
Why is there such a huge price difference between the three paving estimates I just got?
Show all 15 questions
What kind of warranty or guarantee is considered standard for residential paving work?
How do I know if my driveway's drainage issues are caused by the slope or the soil underneath?
Is permeable paving worth the extra cost for a home in a high-flood zone?
What questions should I ask a paving company to make sure they aren't just using leftover materials from another job?
My HOA has strict rules about driveway appearance, what are my options besides standard black asphalt?
How many years should a professionally installed paver patio last before it needs resetting or maintenance?
If I want to expand my driveway by 10 feet, do I need to pull permits myself or does the paving company handle that?

Model by model

22.6% question-level model disagreement.

This rate is the average pairwise disagreement between binary behavior codes across questions and behaviors. It is not the gap between the highest and lowest aggregated model percentages.

Behavior matrixModel-by-model evidence
Measured

Behavior prevalence across 15 paving company benchmark questions, 2026-07 edition. Last column: equal-model mean.

Behavior prevalence across 15 paving company benchmark questions, 2026-07 edition. Last column: equal-model mean.
BehaviorChatGPTClaudeGeminiEqual-model mean
Recommends hiring a professional73.3%46.7%26.7%48.9%
Suggests DIY first13.3%6.7%13.3%11.1%
Names specific providers0%0%6.7%2.2%
Gives price or cost info13.3%33.3%13.3%20%
Tells to check reviews0%13.3%0%4.4%
Tells to verify credentials13.3%6.7%0%6.7%
Mentions case studies / portfolio6.7%0%0%2.2%
Mentions local proximity33.3%20%6.7%20%
Gives selection criteria40%46.7%26.7%37.8%
Warns about red flags0%33.3%13.3%15.5%
Asks a clarifying question60%66.7%0%42.2%
Recommends multiple quotes6.7%20%0%8.9%

Question-level agreement

How often all measured models received the same binary code.

Agreement is calculated question by question for each behavior. A high value can coexist with a low behavior prevalence; it means the models usually agreed on whether the behavior appeared.

Behavior matrixModel-by-model evidence
Measured

All-model binary agreement by behavior across 15 benchmark questions.

All-model binary agreement by behavior across 15 benchmark questions.
BehaviorAll-model agreement
Recommends hiring a professional40%
Suggests DIY first86.7%
Names specific providers93.3%
Gives price or cost info66.7%
Tells to check reviews86.7%
Tells to verify credentials86.7%
Mentions case studies / portfolio93.3%
Mentions local proximity53.3%
Gives selection criteria26.7%
Warns about red flags60%
Asks a clarifying question20%
Recommends multiple quotes80%

By model

How each assistant handled Paving Company questions.

Reading the 45 answers model by model shows how differently the three assistants treat the same paving company questions. On the most consequential behavior — whether to send the buyer to a professional at all — the rate ranged from 73.3% (ChatGPT) down to 26.7% (Gemini), a 47-point gap on an identical question set.

Across the 15 paving company answers it produced, ChatGPT recommended hiring a professional in 73.3% of them and suggested a DIY approach first 13.3% of the time. It named a specific provider in 0% of answers (about 0 distinct providers per answer) and included price or cost information 13.3% of the time. ChatGPT asked a clarifying question before answering in 60% of cases, warned about red flags or scams in 0%, and told the buyer to verify credentials in 13.3%, averaging 527 words per answer. On the remaining cues it told the buyer to check reviews in 0%, pointed to case studies or a portfolio in 6.7%, and framed the choice around local proximity in 33.3%; a selection-criteria checklist appeared in 40% of its answers and a recommendation to gather multiple quotes in 6.7%.

Across the 15 paving company answers it produced, Claude recommended hiring a professional in 46.7% of them and suggested a DIY approach first 6.7% of the time. It named a specific provider in 0% of answers (about 0 distinct providers per answer) and included price or cost information 33.3% of the time. Claude asked a clarifying question before answering in 66.7% of cases, warned about red flags or scams in 33.3%, and told the buyer to verify credentials in 6.7%, averaging 293 words per answer. On the remaining cues it told the buyer to check reviews in 13.3%, pointed to case studies or a portfolio in 0%, and framed the choice around local proximity in 20%; a selection-criteria checklist appeared in 46.7% of its answers and a recommendation to gather multiple quotes in 20%.

Across the 15 paving company answers it produced, Gemini recommended hiring a professional in 26.7% of them and suggested a DIY approach first 13.3% of the time. It named a specific provider in 6.7% of answers (about 0.2 distinct providers per answer) and included price or cost information 13.3% of the time. Gemini asked a clarifying question before answering in 0% of cases, warned about red flags or scams in 13.3%, and told the buyer to verify credentials in 0%, averaging 276 words per answer. On the remaining cues it told the buyer to check reviews in 0%, pointed to case studies or a portfolio in 0%, and framed the choice around local proximity in 6.7%; a selection-criteria checklist appeared in 26.7% of its answers and a recommendation to gather multiple quotes in 0%.

Taken together, ChatGPT is the assistant most likely to route a paving company buyer to a professional (73.3%) and Gemini the least (26.7%). ChatGPT produced the longest answers, at 527 words on average. Specific providers were named most often by Gemini (6.7%) — even there, roughly one answer in 15 carried a name.

Where they disagree

The behaviors where the choice of model changes the answer.

Question-level model disagreement is 22.6% — the average pairwise rate at which models received different binary codes across questions and behaviors. The observed rate spreads below are a separate measure showing where which assistant a paving company buyer happens to ask matters most:

  • Asks a clarifying question: from 0% (Gemini) to 66.7% (Claude) — a 67-point spread.
  • Recommends hiring a professional: from 26.7% (Gemini) to 73.3% (ChatGPT) — a 47-point spread.
  • Warns about red flags or scams: from 0% (ChatGPT) to 33.3% (Claude) — a 33-point spread.
  • Mentions local proximity: from 6.7% (Gemini) to 33.3% (ChatGPT) — a 27-point spread.
  • Gives price or cost information: from 13.3% (ChatGPT) to 33.3% (Claude) — a 20-point spread.

The widest single gap — asks a clarifying question, 67 points — means a paving company buyer can receive materially different guidance on the same question depending only on which assistant they happen to open, so any visibility strategy built on a single model's behavior describes only part of the paving company market.

Where they agree

The points of near-consensus in Paving Company.

On other behaviors the three models move almost in lockstep — the points of near-consensus for paving company, where all three landed within a few points of each other:

  • Suggests a DIY approach first: 6.7%–13.3% across all three (a 7-point spread).
  • Names a specific provider: 0%–6.7% across all three (a 7-point spread).
  • Mentions case studies or portfolio: 0%–6.7% across all three (a 7-point spread).
  • Tells the buyer to check reviews: 0%–13.3% across all three (a 13-point spread).

Measured question by question, the three assistants coded a response the same way most consistently on "names a specific provider" (identical coding in 93.3% of questions) and least consistently on "asks a clarifying question" (20%).

Every behavior, measured

All twelve coded behaviors for Paving Company, averaged across the three models.

The behaviors AI models reproduce most often for paving company are recommends hiring a professional (48.9% on average), asks a clarifying question (42.2%) and gives selection criteria (37.8%); the rarest are mentions case studies or portfolio (2.2%), names a specific provider (2.2%) and tells the buyer to check reviews (4.4%). Each figure below is the share of a model's 15 answers in which the behavior appeared at least once, averaged across the 3 models with the full per-model range in parentheses:

  • Recommends hiring a professional: 48.9% on average (ChatGPT 73.3%, Claude 46.7%, Gemini 26.7%) — a 47-point spread.
  • Asks a clarifying question: 42.2% on average (ChatGPT 60%, Claude 66.7%, Gemini 0%) — a 67-point spread.
  • Gives selection criteria: 37.8% on average (ChatGPT 40%, Claude 46.7%, Gemini 26.7%) — a 20-point spread.
  • Gives price or cost information: 20% on average (ChatGPT 13.3%, Claude 33.3%, Gemini 13.3%) — a 20-point spread.
  • Mentions local proximity: 20% on average (ChatGPT 33.3%, Claude 20%, Gemini 6.7%) — a 27-point spread.
  • Warns about red flags or scams: 15.5% on average (ChatGPT 0%, Claude 33.3%, Gemini 13.3%) — a 33-point spread.
  • Suggests a DIY approach first: 11.1% on average (ChatGPT 13.3%, Claude 6.7%, Gemini 13.3%) — a 7-point spread.
  • Recommends multiple quotes: 8.9% on average (ChatGPT 6.7%, Claude 20%, Gemini 0%) — a 20-point spread.
  • Tells the buyer to verify credentials: 6.7% on average (ChatGPT 13.3%, Claude 6.7%, Gemini 0%) — a 13-point spread.
  • Tells the buyer to check reviews: 4.4% on average (ChatGPT 0%, Claude 13.3%, Gemini 0%) — a 13-point spread.
  • Names a specific provider: 2.2% on average (ChatGPT 0%, Claude 0%, Gemini 6.7%) — a 7-point spread.
  • Mentions case studies or portfolio: 2.2% on average (ChatGPT 6.7%, Claude 0%, Gemini 0%) — a 7-point spread.

Trust signals

How well the models protect the paving company buyer.

Beyond whether to hire, the rubric codes how carefully each assistant protects the paving company buyer once a decision is made. Telling the buyer to check reviews or ratings appeared in 4.4% of answers on average. Verifying credentials or certifications appeared in 6.7%. Warning about red flags or scams appeared in 15.5%.

On structuring the decision, a selection-criteria checklist showed up in 37.8% of answers on average and a recommendation to gather multiple quotes in 8.9%. The single least-reproduced protective signal for paving company is "tells the buyer to check reviews" at 4.4% on average — the clearest opening for content that supplies it, since the models are not yet reliably surfacing that guidance on their own.

Referral behavior

Do AI models name Paving Company providers?

For service providers the decisive question is whether these systems name anyone at all. Across 45 paving company answers, a specific provider was named in 2.2% of responses on average — roughly 0.1 distinct providers per answer. In practice the assistants behave far more as an explanatory layer than as a referral engine for paving company: visibility comes from being the reasoning a model reproduces, not from being the named recommendation.

The question set

What these 15 Paving Company questions cover.

The 15 questions behind every percentage on this page form a frozen paving company (home services; buyer hiring decisions for this specific service) buyer-intent benchmark. Each was put to all 3 models once, with identical wording, so the rates above describe how the assistants handled this exact paving company question set — not a general prior or a hand-picked subset. The full list is shown earlier on this page; the coded percentages are what those specific questions produced.

How to read this

A note on the numbers.

A percentage here is the share of a model's 15 answers in which the behavior appeared at least once — not a confidence score. Because each model answered every question exactly once on 2026-07-04, the figures describe this specific paving company question set and snapshot rather than a general prior. The full protocol and coding rubric are documented in the study methodology.

Methodology

A controlled snapshot, documented end to end.

15 frozen benchmark questions, one expected response per model per question (ChatGPT API (gpt-5-mini), Claude API (claude-sonnet-5), Gemini API (gemini-3-flash-preview)), collected 2026-07-04 and coded against a fixed 12-behavior rubric. The pipeline validates the schema, recomputes aggregates and reports consistency issues. AI outputs vary with model version, location and time, so the figures describe this edition's exact sample and measurement window. Read the full methodology →

Citation

Cite this edition.

Authority Specialist. “AI SEO Statistics: Paving Company (2026-07 edition).” AuthoritySpecialist.com. https://authorityspecialist.com/research/ai-seo-statistics/services/home/paving-company